Analysis of the key general election battlegrounds

By David Bartlett on Dec 30, 09 01:52 PM in

I've written a fairly extensive piece on the changing face of Merseyside politics for today's Echo.

Read the full story HERE. The breakdown the key seats does not appear online, so here they are:

Liverpool Wavertree: In 2005 Labour's Jane Kennedy won with a majority of 5,173. It is estimated that boundary changes have effectively eroded Labour's majority to around 3,000.
Labour are currently in the process of selecting a new candidate.
It is the Liberal Democrats' number one target seat in the North West and their candidate Colin Eldridge arguably represents their best chance of electoral success in Merseyside.
A 5% swing would see him win the seat.

Wirral West: Labour's Stephen Hesford was re-elected to the seat in 2005 with a paper-thin majority of 1,097.
But boundary changes mean that notionally Conservative Esther McVey currently has a notional "majority" of 283 votes.
Ms McVey is widely expected to win the seat which had been a Tory stronghold until 1997 when Mr Hesford won the seat.

Wirral South: Labour has just chosen public affairs expert Alison McGovern to replace Ben Chapman, who stands down at the General Election, as the party's candidate.
Chapman was re-elected with a majority of 3,724 in 2005.
Ms McGovern faces a tough challenge from barrister Jeff Clarke who is standing for the Conservatives and needs a 5% swing to take the seat from Labour.

Southport: Liberal Democrat John Pugh has held the seat since 2001, and has a majority of 3,838.
Conservative Brenda Porter needs a swing of less than 5% to win - the seat is 78th on the Tory target list.

Sefton Central (currently Crosby): Labour are yet to choose a replacement for Claire Curtis-Thomas who was re-elected in 2005.
Boundary changes have marginally eroded Labour's majority to around 5,540.
Conservative candidate Debi Jones needs a 6.6% swing to win.
Liberal Democrat candidate Richard Clein is also investing considerable amount of effort in trying to win the seat.

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David Bartlett

David Bartlett

City editor of the Post and Echo covering politics, regeneration, and urban affairs.
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